Predicting the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan: The Intelligence Community's Record

17 December Afghan Army Afghan government Afghan regime air base airborne battalion airborne division airlift Alert Memorandum Amin Amin's Andropov Anwar Bagram Bagram air base Bradsher Brezhnev buildup combat forces combat units Cordovez and Harrison coup CPSU Daoud deployed deployment described Détente Détente and Confrontation documents Embassy Kabul Fall of Afghanistan Fateful Pebble former Soviet Ghaus ground force divisions Herat insurgency intelligence analysts intelligence assessments Intelligence Community intelligence reporting Interagency Intelligence Memorandum Invasion of Afghanistan Iran Kabul radio Karmal Khalq lbid major meeting military intervention Mitrokhin Moscow Motorized Rifle Division mutiny Nobel Compendium number of Soviet October Options in Afghanistan Pakistan Parcham Pashtun PDPA policy officials Politburo political preparations presidential palace reportedly Salang Pass September 1979 Soviet combat Soviet forces Soviet Invasion Soviet officials Soviet Options Soviet troops Soviet Union takeover Taraki Termez Tragedy of Afghanistan Turkestan Military District USSR Ustinov Washington Watanjar York